If you ever get a positive result for a medical condition, you need to read this article (even though it is somewhat difficult) to realize what false positives mean.
Academic psychology and medical testing are both dogged by unreliability. The reason is clear: we got probability wrong
In summary: illusion of control. And that stress amplifies it.
The 2008 financial crisis taught me about the illusion of control, and how to give it up.
By Bob Henderson | December 24, 2015 | Nautilus
Scary. Read the original article to see the graphs and link to the clinical trial simulation game.
Failure to publish the results of all clinical trials is skewing medical science
Jul 25th 2015 | The Economist
Wonderful article explaining why we can’t take each scientific study as “truth”, yet science is still providing us with the best answers. Make sure you read it at the origin, so you can play with the interactive graph.
It’s just a hell of a lot harder than we give it credit for.
By Christie Aschwanden | Aug 19, 2015 | FiveThirtyEight
Just because there seems to be a connection between two things, it doesn’t necessarily prove causation. A website tales a humorous look at statistical correlations. Report from BBC News:
A website set up by a student at Harvard teaches us to look carefully at statistics. And it’s fun at the same time.
If you think you can rely on scientific research as truth, you’d be wrong, according to this article. I certainly will be much more skeptical of research from now on. Well explained, a must-read article from The Economist:
Scientists like to think of science as self-correcting. To an alarming degree, it is not
The Economist, Oct 19th 2013
I didn’t realize so much data is available on the internet…wow. From MIT’s Technology Review, December 3, 2010:
From Michael Shermer’s article I already learned that people see patterns even when there is none. The article below points out that this type of behaviour was also observed in pigeons! From BBC News Magazine, 14 September 2011:
By Michael Blastland
We all have lucky rituals or charms but why do we see meaningful patterns or connections in random or meaningless data, asks Michael Blastland.
Statistical illiteracy becomes a big problem when people make health decisions. So why isn’t statistics taught to everyone early in school? And more importantly, why isn’t it a requirement for doctors?
From Scientific American Mind, April 8, 2009: